Fed’in Collins’i Bir Faiz Artışını Gözlüyor: Enerji Riskleri ve Piyasa Belirsizliği Etkili Oluyor

Kısaca

Fed’in Collins’in faizi artırma ihtimaline odaklanması; enerji risklerinin baskısı sürdüyo ABD Merkez Bankası’nın politika yaklaşımı belirsizliğini koruyor Küresel piyasalarda döviz ve enerjiito hareketleri izlenecek

Ana mesele

Fed fon faizi için olası bir artış ihtimali ve enerji risklerinin baskısı

Ne değişti?

Bir sonraki artış ihtimali ve enerji baskılarının sürmesi

Beni nasıl etkiler?

Kredi maliyetleri ve döviz volatilitesi üzerinde baskı oluşması olası

Ne oldu?

Fed Başkanı Collins, enerji risklerinin faiz artışını destekleyebileceğini belirtti.

Neden şimdi?

Enerji fiyatları ve jeopolitik gelişmeler, enflasyon ve politika beklentilerini etkiliyor.

Neden önemli?

Piyasaların faiz yönünü ve dolar talebini etkileyerek küresel mali koşulları şekilliyor.

Kimler etkileniyor?

• Küresel yatırımcılar
• Döviz piyasaları
• Enerji şirketleri

Sektör ve piyasa etkisi

Döviz ve enerji hisseleri üzerinde volatilite olası

Riskler

• Enerji talebi ve tedarik baskılarının sürmesi
• Fed kararlarının belirsizliği nedeniyle politika yönünün hızla değişebilmesi

Takip edilmesi gerekenler

• Enerji fiyatlarındaki hareketler
• Fed’in sonraki iletişimi ve toplantı tutanakları
• ABD ekonomisindeki enflasyon verileri

Haberin tamamı

On Monday, Boston Federal Reserve (Fed) President Susan Collins said the resumption of hostilities in the Middle East was a key reason for supporting the increase in the Fed funds rate last week.In an interview with the Associated Press (AP), Collins added that she is also penciling in another rate hike this year and expects rates to remain on hold next year.She said that “Geopolitical developments suggest that we could continue to see additional pressures push on the energy side,” while adding that she wasn’t seeing the inflation progress that she was “hoping to see.”

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

What does the Federal Reserve do, how does it impact the US Dollar?

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates.

When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money.

When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

How often does the Fed hold monetary policy meetings?

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions.

The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

What is Quantitative Easing (QE) and how does it impact USD?

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system.

It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

What is Quantitative Tightening (QT) and how does it impact the US Dollar?

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

Kaynaklar

• FXStreet