Petrol Fiyatları Düşerken ABD Başkanının Enerji Ateşkesi Açıklaması Piyasaları Karıştırdı

Kısaca

Petrol fiyatları bir yüzdeyi aşan oranda düştü; bu sırada Trump'ın enerji ateşkesi açıklaması geldi. Ukrayna ile Rusya arasındaki çatışmalar ve İran’ın desteklediği grup yeni gerilimleri sürdürdü. Piyasalar şimdi enerji politikaları ve jeopolitik gelişmeleri izlemeye odaklandı ve riskleri yakından takip ediyor

Ana mesele

Piyasalarda enerji ateşkesi haberiyle petrol fiyatlarının düşmesi ve belirsizlik

Ne değişti?

Enerji ateşkesi açıklaması piyasalarda karışık yönetişi beraberinde getirdi

Beni nasıl etkiler?

Okuyucular kısa vadede enerji ve hisse senedi endekslerinde dalgalanma görebilir

Ne oldu?

Trump'ın enerji ateşkesi açıklaması sonrası petrol arz-talep dengesine ilişkin belirsizlik arttı.

Neden şimdi?

Çatışmaların birikimi ve enerji politikalarındaki belirsizlik piyasalarda dalgalanmayı tetikledi.

Neden önemli?

Enerji fiyatları ve jeopolitik riskler finans piyasalarını doğrudan etkiler; yatırım kararlarını değiştirir.

Kimler etkileniyor?

• Yatırımcılar
• Enerji şirketleri
• Tedarik zinciri paydaşları
• Piyasalar

Sektör ve piyasa etkisi

Enerji ve finans piyasalarında volatilite yükseldi

Riskler

• Gerileme/rezerv stratejilerinde hata
• Jeopolitik gerilimlerin artması
• Regülasyon/tech çıkışlarının etkilenmesi

Takip edilmesi gerekenler

• Ateşkesin uygulanabilirliği
• RUSYA-UKRAYNA ilişkilerinin sonraki adımları
• Petrol fiyatları ve petrol ürünleri vergileri/kalemleri

Haberin tamamı

Stock markets were mixed on Oct. 12 as oil prices fell after Donald Trump announced an "energy ceasefire" between Russia and Ukraine, which offset a fresh wave of Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia.

Both main crude contracts sank more than one percent at one point following the U.S. president's declaration, even as it sparked astonishment in Kiev, which also said Moscow had struck multiple power plants in the country.

"Effective immediately, there is an ENERGY CEASEFIRE in the War between Russia and Ukraine," Trump said early Sunday on Truth Social. "Both parties have agreed. Do not break it!"

His post came after he called on Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to halt attacks on Russian refineries and said it was "time for Ukraine to get a new president" who would finally settle the war.

Zelensky appeared to express surprise at the announcement, saying he was seeking further details, but added that "Ukraine supports the ceasefire, and it is important that Russia support it as well".

Russia has yet to confirm its agreement.

While the announcement was welcomed by Ukraine's allies, Trump had come under fire after declaring a temporary easing of U.S. sanctions on Russian diesel, which European leaders and Kiev said would only embolden Russian President Vladimir Putin.

The drop in oil prices reversed an initial spike that came in response to Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia at the weekend.

At least a dozen people were killed at Riyadh's international airport on Saturday — the deadliest attack on Saudi soil for more than a decade — and another person died following a second strike on Sunday.

The assaults marked a sharp escalation in the Yemen war, where Riyadh has long militarily supported the internationally recognised government against the Houthis.

The Iran-backed group on Sunday claimed multiple attacks over the past 24 hours and threatened to keep targeting the kingdom's transit hubs, calling them "a theatre of operations for our forces".

"The market is no longer paying full geopolitical premium on every headline, and that is probably the most useful signal in the morning price action," wrote SPI Asset Management's Stephen Innes.

"A strike matters if it threatens real barrels, shipping lanes, refining capacity or insurance costs; otherwise, the market is getting increasingly reluctant to pay up simply because the geopolitical ticker flashes red.

"The physical market remains tight enough to keep Brent above $100, but futures are refusing to treat every new escalation as the start of another straight-line inflation shock."

Asian markets enjoyed a healthy start to the day, but the rally petered as the day wore on.

Hong Kong, Sydney, Singapore, Wellington and Manila all rose, but Seoul and Taipei were dragged by losses in chipmakers SK hynix, Samsung and TSMC.

There were also losses in Shanghai, Mumbai, Bangkok and Jakarta.

U.S. futures were sharply higher, while London, Frankfurt and Paris opened higher.

Tokyo was closed for a holiday.

Investors are also gearing up for the release of key U.S. inflation and retail sales data, which could play a big role in the Federal Reserve's decision-making regarding interest rates. The bank is due to meet at the end of October.

Also in view is the beginning of earnings season this week, with banking giants JP Morgan, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America due to report.

Tech giants will follow later in the month and November, with traders keen to get an idea on the outlook for the AI sector in light of the vast sums of cash pumped into it in recent years.

Kaynaklar

• Hürriyet Daily News - Economy