TCS: İki seansta yüzde 6 yükseliş sonrası teknik tablo karışık; analizler ışığında yön arayışı

Kısaca

TCS hisseleri 2.195 rupiye yükseldi; 2.255–2.260 bandı kısa vadeli direnç olarak öne çıkıyor Net kar yıllık yüzde 15 arttı: 13.884 crores; yıllık bazda yükseliş devam ediyor Nomura hedef fiyatı 2.630 rupia; kısa vadede dirençler üzerinde kırılma, önemli bir pullback için gerektiği belirtiliyor

Ana mesele

TCS hisseleri son iki seansta yükseldi; teknik görünüm zayıf kalmaya devam ediyor

Ne değişti?

Konsolide net kar yıllık yüzde 15 arttı; 50 günlük EMA direnci hala mevcut

Beni nasıl etkiler?

Okuyucuya kısa vadeli yatırım kararında yön belirlemesi için teknik tabloya dair özet bilgi

Ne oldu?

TCS, ikinci çeyrek kârında yıllık yüzde 15 artışla 13.884 crore rupee kaydetti; hisse 1,5% yükselerek gün içi en yüksek 2.195 rupiye çıktı.

Neden şimdi?

Piyasa teknik yapısı henüz güçlü değil; haftalık grafikte hareketli ortalamaların altında seyir sürüyor.

Neden önemli?

Yatırımcı güveni ve kısa vadeli işlem stratejileri, 50 günlük EMA ve 20 haftalık EMA çevresinde şekilleniyor.

Kimler etkileniyor?

• Yatırımcılar
• Aracı kurum analistleri

Sektör ve piyasa etkisi

IT hisseleri genel olarak kırılgan momentum göstergeleriyle dikkat çekiyor

Riskler

• Kısa vadeli dirençlerin aşılmaması halinde satış baskısı artabilir
• Genel piyasa rallisiyle paralel hareketler sürpriz görünmemektedir

Takip edilmesi gerekenler

• 50 günlük EMA kırılımı
• 21.50–27.60 aralığındaki hareketler
• Nomura hedefinin sonraki hareketlere etkisi

Haberin tamamı

Shares of India’s largest IT company TCS rallied another 1.5% to their day’s high of Rs 2,195 on the BSE on Monday to extend gains for a second session and rally 6% over the same period after declaring its Q2 earnings.The company reported a 15% year-on-year (YoY) growth in its consolidated net profit at Rs 13,884 crore for the second quarter. The same stood at Rs 12,075 crore a year ago.

The Board has declared a second interim dividend of Rs 12 per share for the financial year 2026-27.In constant currency terms, revenue rose 0.5% quarter-on-quarter. Operating margin came in at 24%, while net margin stood at 19%.What are charts showing?TCS witnessed a sharp pullback towards its 50-day EMA but faced profit booking around this level.

Despite the recovery and early signs of improving momentum, the broader technical structure remains weak, Sudeep Shah, Head of Derivatives Research at SBI Securities said. On the weekly chart, the stock continues to trade below key moving averages. The 20-week EMA zone of Rs 2,255–2,260 is likely to act as immediate resistance.

A decisive breakout above this zone would be necessary to strengthen the case for a meaningful pullback in the near term.“The Nifty IT Index has been consolidating in the 27,613–28,777 range since late September. The index continues to trade below key moving averages on the weekly chart, keeping the broader trend weak.

The RSI has recovered from oversold territory, but momentum remains subdued, with no clear signs of a strong trend reversal yet,” he added.On the Relative Rotation Graph (RRG), the IT Index is placed in the Improving quadrant, indicating early signs of improving momentum, although relative strength remains limited. The 27,600–27,550 zone is likely to act as immediate support, while the 20-week EMA zone of 29,500–29,550 is expected to act as a key resistance.

A decisive and sustained breakout above this zone could trigger a meaningful pullback in the near term.Should you buy TCS shares?Nomura has maintained its Buy rating on TCS with a price target of Rs 2,630, implying an upside of 27%.

The brokerage noted that the company's trailing 12-month deal wins remained flat year-on-year, while near-term demand conditions were largely unchanged as clients continue to scrutinise discretionary spending that does not offer immediate benefits.Goldman Sachs has maintained its Buy rating on TCS with a target price of Rs 2,210.

While revenue growth was in line with estimates, margins fell short of expectations as headcount increased for the third consecutive quarter, the foreign brokerage said. EBIT margins remained flat sequentially despite international growth and the absence of wage hikes, prompting the brokerage to cut its EBIT margin estimates by up to 20 basis points.

Deal win growth also turned negative, signalling a subdued revenue growth environment, although Goldman Sachs largely retained its revenue and earnings per share estimates.Disclaimer: This article has been written by Veer Sharma, who is not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or an Investment Adviser.

Veer Sharma and his/her ‘relative(s)’ (as defined under Section 2(77) of the Companies Act, 2013) do not hold any financial interest in the companies mentioned in this article as of the date of publication. The views/recommendations mentioned in this article, wherever applicable, are those of the respective SEBI-registered Research Analyst/brokerage and have been reproduced/reported with due attribution.

They should not be construed as the views or recommendations of The Economic Times Digital or the journalist. Readers are advised to consider the original research report and make their investment decisions based on their own assessment. Brokerage disclaimers here.

Kaynaklar

• Economic Times - Markets