Trump’ın İran yaptırımları konusunda reddi sonrası petrol fiyatları yükseldi

Kısaca

Brent petrol 103,73 dolar/varil seviyesine yükseldi; WTI 89,72 dolar/varil olarak kayıtlara geçti ABD Başkanı Trump’ın İran’a yönelik yaptırım esnetimi tasarısını reddettiği haberi piyasalarda güvenli liman arayışını güçlendirdi Piyasa volatilitesi sürüyor; gözler Orta Doğu akışlarına ve ABD diesel ihracatına ilişkin olası planlara çevrildi

Ana mesele

Kısa vadede petrol fiyatları Trump reddi sonrası yükseliyor

Ne değişti?

ABD-İran gerilimi sürüyor; Uranım

Beni nasıl etkiler?

Enerji fiyatları küresel enflasyonu etkileyebilir

Ne oldu?

Trump’ın İran’a ilişkin yaptırımların hafifletilmesi yönündeki olası adımlarını reddetmesi sonrası Brent 1,14 dolar artışla 103,73 dolar/varil, WTI ise 0,34 dolar artışla 89,72 dolar/varil oldu.

Neden şimdi?

Orta Doğu’daki filo akışları toparlanırken, ABD’nin diesel ithalatını sınırlama planlarının etkileri yakından izleniyor.

Neden önemli?

Fiyatlar yükseldikçe küresel enerji maliyetleri ve enflasyon baskıları güçlenebilir; petrol hacimleri ve rafineri karlılıkları etkilenebilir.

Kimler etkileniyor?

• Tüccarlar
• Rafineriler
• Enerji şirketleri
• Tüketiciler

Sektör ve piyasa etkisi

Enerji ve enerji maliyetleri üzerinde küresel dalgalanmalar

Riskler

• Yapısal arz kısıtları
• Jeopolitik riskler
• Tedarik zinciri zorlukları

Takip edilmesi gerekenler

• ABD’nin diesel ihracatıyla ilgili planlar
• Orta Doğu üzerindeki lojistik akışlar
• Petrol stoklarındaki değişimler
• Güvenli liman talebinin seyri

Haberin tamamı

Oil prices rose on Wednesday after US President Donald Trump denied he would be willing to ease sanctions on Iran while Qatar pushed for peace talks, after falling in the previous session on a recovery in crude supply from the Middle East.Brent crude futures rose $1.14, or 1.11%, to $103.73 a barrel by 0131 GMT.

US West Texas Intermediate crude 34 cents, or 0.38%, to $89.72.Brent is headed for a monthly gain of around 14%, its biggest climb since July, while WTI is on track for a 4% rise after having breached $106 for the first time since May.The spread between the two benchmarks this month also expanded to its widest in four months as traders watched potential plans by the US to restrict diesel exports, which could create an oversupply in the domestic market and lead US refiners to process less crude.US President Donald Trump is considering allowing sales of red-dyed diesel, instead of an export ban, to offer some price relief to consumers as the November mid-term elections loom.

Further evidence of recovering flows through the Strait of Hormuz, hope for alternatives to a US diesel export restriction will emerge, and no material Iranian escalation in the last 24 hours has seen prices come off a little, Saul Kavonic, head of energy research at MST Marquee, said.The situation remains volatile, oil logistics are expensive and constrained , he added.Qatar said on Tuesday it hopes that shuttle diplomacy between Iran and the US can lead to a breakthrough.

We are exchanging messages between the parties, and we're working towards establishing a common ground in order to get into a deal that would save all of us from the repercussions of the conflict, Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed al-Ansari told reporters.However, Trump denied an Axios report that cited US officials as saying he was willing to give Iran sanctions relief and release frozen Iranian funds in return for concrete steps by Tehran on its nuclear programme. This is untrue.

I offered them NOTHING, Trump wrote on Truth Social.On Tuesday Saudi Arabia resumed oil tanker loadingsfrom its Red Sea port of Yanbu after restarting operations on the East-West Pipeline.Crude oil exports from Middle East producers have rebounded in September to 16.328 million barrels per day, the highest since the US-Israeli war with Iran started in late February.US crude oil and gasoline inventories rose, while distillate stocks fell last week, market sources said on Tuesday, citing data from the American Petroleum Institute.Crude stocks rose by 1.02 million barrels in the week ended September 25, sources said.Official inventory data from the US Energy Information Administration is due at 10:30 a.m.

EDT (1430 GMT). Analysts polled by Reuters expect crude and product inventories to have fallen.

Kaynaklar

• Economic Times - Markets