WTI petrol fiyatı için yönetici görüşleri: 6 ay–5 yıl için ortalamalar ve uç değerler

Kısaca

WTI için çeyrekler arası ortalama tahminleri değişiyor; en az 68–88 dolar/varil aralığında 2026 sonu için üç çeyrek tahmini 88,38 dolar/varil olarak belirtilmiş; düşük 70, yüksek 126 dolar/varil girişim sermayesi, üretim ve enerji maliyetleri üzerinde etkileri izlenecek

Ana mesele

WTI petrol fiyatı için yöneticiler, önümüzdeki dönemler için değişken ve dalgalı bir görünüm veriyor

Ne değişti?

ilk kez üç çeyrek için 2026 sonu tahminleri ortalamaları karşılaştırıldı

Beni nasıl etkiler?

Enerji maliyetleri ve yatırım kararları üzerinde etkili olabilir

Ne oldu?

Dallas Fed Enerji Anketi, WTI için altı ay, bir yıl, iki yıl ve beş yıl sonrası fiyat öngörüleri verdi

Neden şimdi?

3. çeyrek 2026 verileri piyasaların volatilitesine işaret ediyor

Neden önemli?

Fiyat öngörüleri, enerji bütçeleri ve yatırım kararlarını doğrudan etkiler

Kimler etkileniyor?

• Şirketler ve yatırımcılar
• Enerji sektörü tedarik zinciri tarafları

Sektör ve piyasa etkisi

Enerji hisseleri ve ilgili sektörel ödeme dengeleri etkilenebilir

Riskler

• Geniş dalgalanma riski
• Çeyrekler arası öngörü farkı
• Jeopolitik riski

Takip edilmesi gerekenler

• Bir sonraki çeyrek anket sonuçları
• Beş yıl sonrası tekil dağılımlar
• Piyasa beklentilerindeki ani sapmalar

Haberin tamamı

<p>More than 100 oil and gas firm executives revealed where they expect the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price to be at various points in the future in the third quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey, which was released recently.</p> <p>The survey asked participants what they expect WTI prices to be in six months, one year, two years, and five years.

Executives from 106 oil and gas firms answered this question and gave a mean response of $88 per barrel for the six month mark, $82 per barrel for the year mark, $79 per barrel for the two year mark, and $82 per barrel for the five year mark, the survey showed.</p> <p>Executives from 120 oil and gas firms answered this question in the second quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey and gave a mean response of $68 per barrel for the six month and year marks, $72 per barrel for the two year mark, and $77 per barrel for the five year mark, that survey showed.

In the first quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey, executives from 116 oil and gas firms answered the question and gave a mean response of $78 per barrel for the six month mark, $73 per barrel for the year and two year marks, and $79 per barrel for the five year mark, that survey showed.</p> <p>The third quarter 2026 Dallas Fed Energy Survey also asked participants what they expect the WTI crude oil price to be at the end of the year.

Executives from 125 oil and gas firms answered this question and gave an average response of $88.38 per barrel, the survey outlined. The low forecast was $70 per barrel, the high forecast was $126.00 per barrel, and the average daily spot price during the survey was $98.70 per barrel, the survey pointed out.</p> <p>The second quarter 2026 survey also asked participants what they expect the WTI crude oil price to be at the end of the year.

Executives from 124 oil and gas firms answered this question and gave an average response of $80.55 per barrel, that survey highlighted.

The low forecast in this survey was $60 per barrel, the high forecast was $150.00 per barrel, and the average daily spot price during that survey was $87.27 per barrel, the survey revealed.</p> <p>In the first quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey, executives from 131 oil and gas firms answered this question and gave an average response of $74.04 per barrel, that survey highlighted.

The low forecast was $50 per barrel, the high forecast was $135.00 per barrel, and the average daily spot price during the survey was $94.65 per barrel, the first quarter survey pointed out.</p> <p>The fourth quarter 2025 Dallas Fed Energy Survey was the first Dallas Fed Energy Survey which asked participants what they expect the WTI crude oil price to be at the end of 2026.

In that survey, executives from 128 oil and gas firms answered the question and gave an average response of $62.41 per barrel, that survey highlighted.

The low forecast was $50 per barrel, the high forecast was $82.30 per barrel, and the average daily spot price during the survey was $59.00 per barrel, the fourth quarter survey revealed.</p><div id='newsArticleDianomoAds' style='display:none'><hr style='margin:5px 0px;'><div style='color:#808080;text-align: center;'>Advertisement - Scroll to continue</div><div class='dianomi_context' data-dianomi-context-id='4460'></div></div> <p><strong>Special Questions</strong></p> <p>The third quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey also asked a series of price/cash related ‘special questions’.</p> <p>One of these was, “how many quarters do you expect it will take for the spread between fuel prices and crude oil prices to return to 2025 levels”.

Executives from 104 oil and gas firms answered this question in relation to gasoline and executives from 100 oil and gas firms answered this question in relation to diesel, according to the survey, which revealed that “more than four quarters” was the most selected response for both gasoline and diesel.</p> <p>“Nearly half of executives (48 percent) expect diesel prices will take more than four quarters to return to 2025 levels, compared with 36 percent who anticipate the same for gasoline,” the survey stated.</p> <p>Another of these questions was, “free cash flow for many exploration and production firms increased in the first three quarters of 2026 compared to the first three quarters of 2025 - where do you primarily expect your firm to allocate this additional cash flow in the coming quarters”.

Executives from 76 exploration and production firms answered this question, with responses coming from 62 “small firms” and 14 “large firms”, according to the survey, which defined a small exploration and production firm as one that produced less than 10,000 barrels per day in the fourth quarter of 2025 and a large firm as one that produced 10,000 barrels per day or more during that period.</p> <p>“Responses differed depending on firm size and type,” the third quarter Dallas Fed Energy Survey highlighted.</p> <p>“In the U.S., small E&P firms are greater in number, but large E&P firms make up the majority of production (more than 80 percent),” it added.</p> <p>“Among large E&P firms, the majority of executives - 50 percent - expect their firm to allocate additional cash flow (largely accumulated earlier in 2026) as capital return to shareholders and/or owners,” it continued.</p> <p>“Capital expenditures ranked second, selected by 21 percent of executives.

Haberin tamamı için kaynak bağlantısını ziyaret edin.

Kaynaklar

• Rigzone